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Monday, February 27, 2012

Betting on Televised Games

Lets face facts. Watching sports on TV is brawl for just about every being that is annual this column. Wagering is aswell a anatomy of brawl for the majority of bettors. Therefore it is analytic to achieve that activity on sports contest that are on TV is a bifold amusement for a lot of fans, and absolutely this is the case. (The eventually the able sports leagues in the US apprehend this, and embrace the activity public, the bigger in my apprehensive opinion. Didn’t plan for the XFL, but at atomic they tried). However, today I wish to accord you a little something to anticipate about afore you accomplish your next bet on a televised adventurous that will maybe save you some money over the advance of the season.

On any accustomed weekend there are 40-45 academy football amateur and 14-16 in the NFL, a absolute of almost 60. As book managers we absorb according time on just about every adventurous because we accept to. We are traveling to yield bets on every adventurous so all the curve accept to be as authentic as possible. If you go through yourself and affliction anniversary game, you will acquisition that you accept opinions on a lot of games. Perhaps you will see 15-20 amateur area you say to yourself “Gee, I anticipation that advance would be higher”, etc. Of those, maybe you accept a “strong” activity on 5-10 and those are the ones you accept to bet. I would accede this the appropriate access to handicapping if you are aggravating to accomplish a profit.

However, abounding players assume to alpha their handicapping with the TV adviser as they alone bet televised games. This accept to be the case or abroad the 10-12 nationally televised amateur wouldn’t annual for 50% of our handle anniversary weekend. I accept the admiration to accept a play in on any adventurous you are traveling to watch, and that is abundant if you accede activity alone a anatomy of entertainment, but in my assessment that is the amiss access to handicapping for profit. I met a brace of the best handicappers in the business on a cruise to Las Vegas endure year and had a adventitious to yield in a Monday Night football adventurous with them. I asked them which aggregation they had accustomed to their audience and both said they hadn’t accustomed out any plays for the adventurous because they didn’t accept a able abundant opinion. Their acceptability and accord with their players was added important than the simple sales they would accept gotten from the game. In their minds, Monday Night Football was “just addition football game”. That is the blazon of access and attitude it takes to accomplish as a bettor (or a handicapper) in the connected run. My point actuality is don’t absolute your bet selections to just televised amateur and don’t bet every televised adventurous if you wish to be assisting in the connected run.

Right about now, my administration are acrimonious up the buzz to alarm and scream at me for cogent players not to bet so I bigger activity some point of reconciliation. If you wish to accept a play in for a big TV adventurous (and I apperceive how abundant added agitative a 21-3 adventurous is if the advance is 17 and the dog has the brawl late!) yield some time to accede options added than the advance or the total. Just as there are a advanced array of amateur to accept from on any accustomed weekend, there are aswell a advanced array of wagers to accept from for anniversary game. Accept a attending at curve for the First Half and at Halftime. Attending through the account of player/team backdrop that a lot of books activity for TV games. Accede authoritative a play for beneath than your archetypal bet bulk if the play is for brawl alone (although I am a able apostle of befitting your bet sizes the aforementioned if handicapping to aerate profit). The basal band is (and I can’t yield acclaim for either of these lines) “they play the National canticle every day” and “The Super Bowl is just addition football game.” Keep anniversary adventurous you are activity on in angle and you will be a added assisting bettor at the end of the season.

Once again, I am admiring to activity Kent’s “Line Move of the Week”. Kent is BoDog’s top bookmaker and anniversary anniversary he offers a glimpse at the curve of a adventurous of interest. This week’s alternative was the Maryland agitated of West Virginia on Saturday. Actuality is what he had to say:

“I opened the band West Virginia –3 and by Friday afternoon it was bright that the accessible absolutely like West Virginia. I abhorrence to move off 3 if I can advice it so I went to –3 (-115), -3 (-120) and even –3 (-125) in an accomplishment to axis the tide. Added books were already at –3.5 and a few were already at –4 so I fabricated a adventurous move and confused to –4. These are the affectionate of band moves that accomplish book managers go baldheaded but even that angry out not to be enough. Over the advance of two hours Saturday morning, the band went from –4 to –4 (-115), -4 (-120) as I absolutely didn’t wish to move through 4 afterwards affective off 3. However, the activity connected to cascade in on West Virginia and I had no best but to move up. The botheration is that afterwards ‘the dam breaks’ so to allege and you move to –4.5 there is no absolute attrition until –6 and that is area the band bankrupt at alpha admitting attempted curbs like –5 (-120) and –5.5 (-115) a part of others. This was our a lot of askew academy adventurous of the year so far and I was a appealing blessed guy if Maryland jumped out to a quick 28-0 advance and captivated on for a 48-17 win. Afterwards that game, the blow of the weekend seemed simple by comparison”.

Thanks Kent. Unfortunately I accept run out of allowance to allocution about the baseball playoffs so far in any detail but let me answer it to say that abounding bettors (and bookies too) accept been bent by abruptness at the top array (15 of the 17 amateur so far accept gone over the acquaint total) and the Yankees/A’s/Diamondbacks losing. Needless to say, books will be advancement the totals for the next annular of games. I will be aback next anniversary with a attending at moneyline activity on football.

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